Home
Weather Dublin
WeatherRadar
RainfallRadar
TemperatureRadar
WindRadar
LightningRadar
Weather News
Editor's Pick
Discover the app
Weather widget
Contact us
Apps
    Home / Editor's Pick /

    La Niña watch is in effect, what changes it will bring to our weather

10:00
19 February 2024

Changes to our weather
La Niña likely on the way!

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Feb. 7, 2024

Significant changes in weather across the globe will be possible later this year as our strong El Niño pattern could give way to La Niña.

Our current El Niño pattern is among the strongest on record, but an emerging La Niña is likely around the corner.

Forecasters at the National Weather Service have issued a La Niña watch and project that there is a 55% chance that this pattern will develop by August.

Settings for external content

Privacy Policy

What El Niño and La Niña patterns mean for our weather

Before we discuss what this changeover from El Niño to La Niña means for our weather, it's essential to understand the difference between these two patterns.

El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, a natural climate pattern that occurs in the tropical Pacific Ocean.

El Niño is characterized by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, which can lead to changes in global weather patterns, such as increased rainfall in some areas and droughts in others. In contrast,

La Niña is marked by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the same region, resulting in different atmospheric conditions that can cause opposite effects, such as increased rainfall in some regions and droughts or cooler temperatures in others.

Rare 'Super' El Niño

This winter's El Niño has been unusual due to its strength. From November to January, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific were 2°C warmer than average, a threshold that has only been reached six times before (with the last being in 2015-2016).

This threshold indicates that this winter's El Niño has been exceptionally strong, putting it in rare "Super El Niño" territory.

This "Super El Niño" pattern may have contributed to recent deadly fires in South America, a warmer-than-average winter for the U.S.'s northern tier, and the recent flooding in California.

What we may see with a La Niña

Forecasters believe that this winter's El Niño has peaked and that sea-surface temperatures in the central Pacific will rapidly cool over the next several weeks, with now a 79% chance of the Pacific dropping below El Niño status in April. La Niña could be here as soon as this summer or, more likely, by fall.

La Niña is known for encouraging active and destructive Atlantic hurricane seasons and promoting drier conditions in the Southwest and southern California.

First year-long breach of 1.5°C limitread more

One possible benefit of La Niña development is that it could help tamper down rapidly rising global temperatures by promoting cooler global conditions, at least temporarily. While a La Niña watch is in effect, it does not guarantee that this pattern will develop.

Weather & Radar editorial team
More on the topic
Typhoon risk in the Western Pacific. Gusts exceeding 124 mph. . . Thursday 28 May 2026
v
Thursday 28 May 2026

Gusts exceeding 124 mph

Typhoon risk in the Western Pacific
Cooler views after the week's heat. Your weather - Your shots. . . Sunday 31 May 2026
Split image showing a tranquil reservoir at sunset with rolling hills on the left, and a dramatic cloud illuminated by crepuscular sun rays above a tree-lined horizon on the right.
Sunday 31 May 2026

Your weather - Your shots

Cooler views after the week's heat
Heatwave clocks more record temperatures. Up to 38 °C in France. . . Friday 29 May 2026
A composite image showing the Temperature Radar and a drinking fountain. The Temperature Radar shows Thursday’s maximum temperatures of up to 37.8 degrees in France, whilst people use a fountain to cool off.
Friday 29 May 2026

Up to 38 °C in France

Heatwave clocks more record temperatures
All weather news
This might also interest you
Wishes from Weather & Radar. Merry Christmas!. . . Thursday 25 December 2025
Outline of Santa Claus with a yellow and white hat, "Ho-Ho-Ho" next to the outline above a Christmas tree.
Thursday 25 December 2025

Merry Christmas!

Wishes from Weather & Radar
Flooding, gales, and heavy snow. Storm Chandra. . . Tuesday 27 January 2026
Split image showing aerial flooding in a town with muddy water covering roads on the left, and a rural road on the right blocked by heavy snowfall with vans stopped and a person walking in snow.
Tuesday 27 January 2026

Storm Chandra

Flooding, gales, and heavy snow
Historic Storm Éowyn arrives. On this day.... . . Saturday 24 January 2026
Split image showing a person in a yellow jacket struggling against strong winds and heavy rain on a street at night on the left, and an Irish wind forecast map on the right with red and purple shading, gusts up to 75 mph, and a wind warning icon, divided by a curved white line.
Saturday 24 January 2026

On this day...

Historic Storm Éowyn arrives
All articles
Weather & Radar

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

facebooktwitteryouTubelinkList