Flipping to La Niña
90% chance El Niño dissipates by June

El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator, demonstrated in this graphic.
El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator. The heat is well identified on the map by the red colours. - © picture alliance

The chances of the El Niño phenomenon dissipating by the end of May are now at 90%.

That is according to the national weather bureau of Japan, who also say that La Niña, the cooler side of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has a 60% chance of returning by November.

Learn more on this phenomenon with this special report by Weather & Radar's Tamsin Green.

Faster La Niña & El Niño swingsread more
Ryan Hathaway
More on the topic
Severe weather in southern Europe. Thunderstorms & heavy rain. . Weather Videos. Wednesday 9 September 2026
Autumn colours light the skies. Your weather - Your shots. . . Sunday 13 September 2026
A snowy winter in the Andes. Avalanches and storms. . . Tuesday 15 September 2026
All weather news
This might also interest you
A frozen start to the weekend. Icy conditions. . . Friday 13 February 2026
Storm Chandra makes impact. Severe gales & heavy rain. . . Tuesday 27 January 2026
New records for England and Wales. Broken again tomorrow?. . . Thursday 25 June 2026
All articles

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

youTubelinkList