Home / Editor's Pick /

Flipping to La Niña: 90% chance El Niño dissipates by June

17:00
11 May 2024

Flipping to La Niña
90% chance El Niño dissipates by June

El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator, demonstrated in this graphic.El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator. The heat is well identified on the map by the red colours. - © picture alliance

The chances of the El Niño phenomenon dissipating by the end of May are now at 90%.

That is according to the national weather bureau of Japan, who also say that La Niña, the cooler side of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has a 60% chance of returning by November.

Learn more on this phenomenon with this special report by Weather & Radar's Tamsin Green.

Faster La Niña & El Niño swingsread more
Ryan Hathaway
More on the topic
Split image showing a red-orange sunset over the sea with layered clouds on the left, and green and red aurora glowing in the night sky with silhouetted power lines and a utility pole on the right, divided by a curved white line.
Sunday 1 February 2026

Your weather - Your shots

Calmer conditions catch the eye
Temperature map of Europe showing extreme cold in northern Scandinavia with −29 °C at Hemavan and much warmer conditions in southern Spain with 26 °C at Murcia, highlighted by colour gradients and labels.
Friday 6 February 2026

Over 50 degree split

Enormous temperature contrasts in Europe
Long line of cars and lorries stuck on a snow-covered A66, with icy lanes, reduced visibility, and snow-covered fields and hills on both sides.
Friday 13 February 2026

Rain and snow continues

Some disruption after overnight snow
 All weather news
This might also interest you
Weather graphic showing rain and wind fields over the Canary Islands and a central warning symbol.
Friday 12 December 2025

Storm and rain

Turbulent weather in the Canary Islands
Split weather map showing the UK and Ireland. The left side illustrates strong winds circulating around a low-pressure system, with gusts of 20–30 mph highlighted in orange and yellow. The right side shows radar imagery with widespread blue rain bands and patches of thunderstorms, especially over northern England and Scotland.
Thursday 28 August 2025

Breakfast brief

Remaining widely unsettled
Split image showing aerial flooding in a town with muddy water covering roads on the left, and a rural road on the right blocked by heavy snowfall with vans stopped and a person walking in snow.
Tuesday 27 January 2026

Storm Chandra

Flooding, gales, and heavy snow
 All articles
IE

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

youTubelinkList