Flipping to La Niña
90% chance El Niño dissipates by June

El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator, demonstrated in this graphic.
El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator. The heat is well identified on the map by the red colours. - © picture alliance

The chances of the El Niño phenomenon dissipating by the end of May are now at 90%.

That is according to the national weather bureau of Japan, who also say that La Niña, the cooler side of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has a 60% chance of returning by November.

Learn more on this phenomenon with this special report by Weather & Radar's Tamsin Green.

Faster La Niña & El Niño swingsread more
Ryan Hathaway
More on the topic
New record June temperature in the UK. Likely to be broken again. . . Thursday 25 June 2026
Schools closed and more heat disruption. Red warnings now live. . . Wednesday 24 June 2026
Frost instead of a heatwave. Winter in South America. . . Friday 26 June 2026
All weather news
This might also interest you
Bright and warm conditions take hold. Spring-like outlook. . . Thursday 23 April 2026
Flooding, gales, and heavy snow. Storm Chandra. . . Tuesday 27 January 2026
Storm Benjamin impacts the UK. Warnings active. . . Wednesday 22 October 2025
All articles

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

youTubelinkList