Home
Weather Dublin
WeatherRadar
RainfallRadar
TemperatureRadar
WindRadar
LightningRadar
Weather News
Editor's Pick
Discover the app
Weather widget
Contact us
Apps
    Home / Weather News /

    Election day forecast: Does the weather impact the turnout?

13:39
3 July 2024

Election day forecast
Does the weather impact the turnout?

british people in the rain
© picture alliance

Ever wondered if the weather has any impact on how or if people vote?

When the General Election was announced, it absolutely poured down outside of Downing Street. Will Election Day itself be any different?

Thunderstorms for some

The morning of Thursday 4th July will begin broadly fine with sunny spells across much of England and Wales, away from north-western portions and Scotland.

Scattered showers will develop across north-west England, with more organised showery rain pushing into north-west Scotland. The showers here look to become increasingly lively during the afternoon, with a risk of thunderstorms and potent downpours.

A few lighter showers across Ireland, with cloud thickening through the afternoon bringing persistent rain to southern portions. This rain will then edge eastwards into south-west England heading into the evening, just as polling stations look to close.

A windswept election?

Even despite the drier weather to the south, winds will be blustery, gusting widely above 30 mph across the board. Winds more widely reaching closer to 40 mph across Ireland and Northern Ireland, in addition to northern portions of England and Scotland.

Across the Pennines and any Scottish mountains, in addition to exposed western fringes, winds are expected to gust locally nearer to 50 mph.

Though there is hope of a higher turnout in the brighter summer days, experts say there is no correlation between weather and the polling numbers. That being said, it could be a different story for those in north-west Scotland needing to get out their house amidst driving winds and rain.

Weather for the rest of Julyread more
More on the topic
Severe weather damage in France. Tornado impacts. . . Tuesday 25 August 2026
On the left, the weather radar shows numerous flashes of lightning over the south of France. On the right, severe tornado damage can be seen in Pomas, with damaged roofs, trees and vehicles.
Tuesday 25 August 2026

Tornado impacts

Severe weather damage in France
Widespread thunderstorm risk in the UK. Heavy rain and hail too. . . Tuesday 25 August 2026
Split weather graphic showing a yellow thunderstorm warning across much of England alongside radar with heavy showers and frequent lightning around London and southeast England.
Tuesday 25 August 2026

Heavy rain and hail too

Widespread thunderstorm risk in the UK
Stormy weather in parts of Europe. Low-pressure system. . . Friday 21 August 2026
Weather radar showing a low-pressure system over the Alps and its track towards the Baltic States. Next to it, a flooded road.
Friday 21 August 2026

Low-pressure system

Stormy weather in parts of Europe
All weather news
This might also interest you
Long-term trends need a pinch of salt. 40 °C in July?. . . Tuesday 30 June 2026
Temperature radar of 2022 heatwave where the all-time temperature record in the UK was set. Warning symbol overlain.
Tuesday 30 June 2026

40 °C in July?

Long-term trends need a pinch of salt
New records for England and Wales. Broken again tomorrow?. . . Thursday 25 June 2026
Temperature map of southwest Britain on 25.06 showing extreme heat across southern Wales and southwest England, with Bute Park in Cardiff highlighted at 34.2°C and Yeovilton at 36.4°C amid widespread deep red heat zones.
Thursday 25 June 2026

Broken again tomorrow?

New records for England and Wales
Bright and warm conditions take hold. Spring-like outlook. . . Thursday 23 April 2026
Split UK map showing warm temperatures up to 21 degrees in orange on the left and clear sunny conditions with temperatures from 12 to 18 degrees on the right, with sun icons across the country.
Thursday 23 April 2026

Spring-like outlook

Bright and warm conditions take hold
All articles
Weather & Radar

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

facebooktwitteryouTubelinkList