Home
Weather Dublin
WeatherRadar
RainfallRadar
TemperatureRadar
WindRadar
LightningRadar
Weather News
Editor's Pick
Discover the app
Weather widget
Contact us
Apps
    Home / Weather News /

    Election day forecast: Does the weather impact the turnout?

13:39
3 July 2024

Election day forecast
Does the weather impact the turnout?

british people in the rain
© picture alliance

Ever wondered if the weather has any impact on how or if people vote?

When the General Election was announced, it absolutely poured down outside of Downing Street. Will Election Day itself be any different?

Thunderstorms for some

The morning of Thursday 4th July will begin broadly fine with sunny spells across much of England and Wales, away from north-western portions and Scotland.

Scattered showers will develop across north-west England, with more organised showery rain pushing into north-west Scotland. The showers here look to become increasingly lively during the afternoon, with a risk of thunderstorms and potent downpours.

A few lighter showers across Ireland, with cloud thickening through the afternoon bringing persistent rain to southern portions. This rain will then edge eastwards into south-west England heading into the evening, just as polling stations look to close.

A windswept election?

Even despite the drier weather to the south, winds will be blustery, gusting widely above 30 mph across the board. Winds more widely reaching closer to 40 mph across Ireland and Northern Ireland, in addition to northern portions of England and Scotland.

Across the Pennines and any Scottish mountains, in addition to exposed western fringes, winds are expected to gust locally nearer to 50 mph.

Though there is hope of a higher turnout in the brighter summer days, experts say there is no correlation between weather and the polling numbers. That being said, it could be a different story for those in north-west Scotland needing to get out their house amidst driving winds and rain.

Weather for the rest of Julyread more
More on the topic
Frost instead of a heatwave. Winter in South America. . . Friday 26 June 2026
Temperature map of South America showing a widespread cold air outbreak across Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, and southern Brazil, with a large blue thermometer icon highlighting below-average temperatures and near-freezing conditions in parts of Argentina.
Friday 26 June 2026

Winter in South America

Frost instead of a heatwave
Turbulent times as gusting winds spread. Scotland affected too. . . Tuesday 30 June 2026
WindRadar over the Mediterranean, showing the Mistral in the west and the Bora in the east. Strong winds and high wind speeds along the French Mediterranean coast and the Adriatic coast.
Tuesday 30 June 2026

Scotland affected too

Turbulent times as gusting winds spread
A hot and thundery week. Your weather - Your shots. . . Sunday 28 June 2026
Split image showing a bright branching lightning bolt illuminating pink storm clouds on the left and a vivid rainbow arching above a rocky coastline and calm sea beneath dark clouds on the right.
Sunday 28 June 2026

Your weather - Your shots

A hot and thundery week
All weather news
This might also interest you
Long-term trends need a pinch of salt. 40 °C in July?. . . Tuesday 30 June 2026
Temperature radar of 2022 heatwave where the all-time temperature record in the UK was set. Warning symbol overlain.
Tuesday 30 June 2026

40 °C in July?

Long-term trends need a pinch of salt
Turbulent weather in the Canary Islands. Storm and rain. . . Friday 12 December 2025
Weather graphic showing rain and wind fields over the Canary Islands and a central warning symbol.
Friday 12 December 2025

Storm and rain

Turbulent weather in the Canary Islands
Seasonal warmth between spring thunder. Your weather - Your shots. . . Sunday 19 April 2026
Split image showing coastal sunset with layered lenticular clouds over rooftops and palm trees on the left, and a green valley with river and hills under soft daylight on the right.
Sunday 19 April 2026

Your weather - Your shots

Seasonal warmth between spring thunder
All articles
Weather & Radar

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

facebooktwitteryouTubelinkList