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On Euronews: Can we accurately predict the summer?

10:03
28 May 2024

On Euronews
Can we accurately predict the summer?

Much of Europe experienced hot weather last summer as 'Nero' heatwave prevailed.Much of Europe experienced hot weather last summer as 'Nero' heatwave prevailed. - © picture alliance

Will it be a long, hot summer? Weather & Radar meteorologist Tamsin Green spoke to Euronews Green on how accurate early forecasts for the season can be.

Full interview with Euronews hereread more

Predicting the weather even days out can sometimes be tricky in the UK and Ireland, given we are an island susceptible to volatile weather patterns.

So how can we possibly predict our summer weather months out? Well, we can analyse monthly averages. We can see that June, July and August are all as individual months forecast to be above-average in terms of temperature, giving the summer as a whole an above-average title, but that doesn't necessarily give the full picture.

Monthly averages are just one snapshot of the month as a whole, not accounting for more brief (albeit perhaps major) fluctuations in say temperature, or precipitation, or even pressure pattern.

For example, June may have one unseasonably hot week, with the rest of the month trending below-normal. Yet the overall average would likely still come out above normal due to the one hot anomalous week.

For more info on our summer predictionsread more

Many different factors can also influence the upcoming months' weather, as discussed in the Euronews Green article with meteorologist Tamsin Green.

You can read the full article in the link at the top of this page, with weather patterns and forecasts for the upcoming weeks and months continually shared inside the app.

Don't forget you can also get a more detailed picture of the days ahead yourself on the WeatherRadar.

Weather & Radar editorial team
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