Home / Editor's Pick /

Likely to return in 2024: Global impacts of La Niña

13:30
27 February 2024

Likely to return in 2024
Global impacts of La Niña

FloodingWindsor, Australia has seen extensive flooding in recent years with heavy rain a result of La Niña.w - © picture alliance

Chances of a La Niña event emerging later this year are rising, here's what happened the last time we experienced this side of the El Niño Southern Oscillation.

From 2020 to 2023, the planet saw three consecutive years of the La Niña phenomenon, heralding cooler waters in the equatorial Pacific.

No two events are the same, though typically bring more rain to Australia, an increase in Atlantic hurricanes for the US, and a mixture of effects in Africa.

Over the three-year period between 2020 and 2023, Australia certainly saw more rainfall.

As many as eight separate severe flooding events took place over the period resulting in billions of dollars in damages and multiple deaths.

Chances rising

Latest data from the US Climate Prediction Centre suggests a 79% chance of El Niño easing by April-June and a 55% of La Niña forming in June-August.

In 2022, the Wilson River passing through the city of Lismore, New South Wales reached a historic height of 14.4 metres.

Looking towards the U.S. we saw the impact evidenced in the hurricanes formed. As La Niña took hold during the 2020 hurricane season a total of 31 tropical cyclones, 14 hurricanes, and seven major hurricanes formed. It became the most active season on record.

The was followed by the third most active season on record in 2021. While 2022’s season saw fewer events, total damages passing $120 billion were the highest of the period.

Flip side: impacts of El Niñoread more

Meanwhile, in Africa, La Niña has different effects. In the west, weather becomes wetter with floods more likely. In the east, drought is exacerbated, as we saw in the Horn of Africa which remained in the grip of the most severe drought for over 70 years.

Learn more about the El Niño Southern Oscillation with our video explainer!

Ryan Hathaway
More on the topic
Weather map of the UK and Ireland showing orange-red wind zones with gusts up to 40 mph near Dublin and Glasgow, overlaid with a triangular wind warning symbol on the left.
Friday 14 November 2025

Turbulent Saturday

Gusting start to the weekend
Northern Lights over Dublin, Ireland
Wednesday 12 November 2025

Remaining active

Fascinating Northern Lights in the sky
Split image showing two contrasting skies — on the left, a vivid orange and red sunset behind silhouetted rooftops and chimneys; on the right, large white cumulonimbus clouds rising above trees against a pale blue sky.
Sunday 9 November 2025

Your weather - Your shots

A mild autumnal week captured by you
All weather news
This might also interest you
Friday 22 August 2025

Breakfast brief

Sunny start for some, overcast later
Sunday 24 August 2025

Your weather - Your shots

Mammatus clouds widely spotted
Split weather map showing UK wind speeds in orange-red shades up to 40 mph on the left and warning levels in green-yellow on the right, with a central wind warning sign.
Wednesday 22 October 2025

Warnings active

Storm Benjamin impacts the UK
All articles
Weather & Radar

www.weatherandradar.ie

facebooktwitteryouTubeContact uslinkList
Privacy Policy | Legal info | Accessibility statement